Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 11.311228 12.567507 13.920316 15.487762 17.256876 19.195142 21.484117
2025-08-24 9.287282 10.988628 12.954571 15.404066 18.387899 21.921731 26.449204
2025-08-31 7.881938 9.831461 12.222625 15.393820 19.522675 24.761983 31.986648
2025-09-07 6.993636 9.133844 11.899770 15.777179 21.137418 28.381933 39.077563
2025-09-14 6.133388 8.330073 11.298968 15.665857 22.028693 31.123626 45.403838
2025-09-21 5.388256 7.570305 10.636589 15.341465 22.524716 33.322446 51.254330
2025-09-28 4.840871 7.012187 10.172963 15.213876 23.249284 35.908364 58.074432
2025-10-05 4.554095 6.794109 10.168325 15.756829 25.052275 40.397589 68.741067
2025-10-12 4.290856 6.576396 10.129103 16.222870 26.769899 44.967098 80.336532
2025-10-19 3.985006 6.255611 9.885336 16.309995 27.837180 48.543386 90.729605
2025-10-26 3.675609 5.895619 9.535389 16.164664 28.457679 51.377081 100.169749
2025-11-02 3.390142 5.546476 9.165256 15.933417 28.876387 53.867806 109.339229
2025-11-09 3.119538 5.204053 8.783667 15.657004 29.211368 56.321714 119.101045
2025-11-16 2.892317 4.916804 8.471858 15.475758 29.711452 59.195785 130.428398
2025-11-23 2.705736 4.684739 8.236492 15.412637 30.440397 62.664829 143.902624
2025-11-30 2.592790 4.575445 8.215426 15.766711 32.085547 68.392826 164.198709
2025-12-07 2.430191 4.359453 7.971589 15.639211 32.671900 71.818862 179.399612
2025-12-14 2.259497 4.113675 7.647374 15.306703 32.754334 74.071375 191.975760
2025-12-21 2.127269 3.930749 7.429585 15.174675 33.273352 77.458938 208.533876
2025-12-28 2.075634 3.900989 7.515452 15.713321 35.445769 85.368314 240.395916
2026-01-04 2.018990 3.856138 7.565457 16.176357 37.502190 93.353430 274.741224
2026-01-11 1.931190 3.740685 7.456973 16.262341 38.626697 99.029324 303.265851
2026-01-18 1.829960 3.589639 7.259471 16.117019 39.135147 103.077886 327.467246